China’s wages in the end is low or high isobuster

China wages in the end is low or high. The sina finance opinion leader column (WeChat public kopleader) columnist Feng Ming on the one hand, the workers complain of low income and high pressure; but on the other hand, manufacturing enterprises complaining about rising labor costs too fast. This seems to be a paradox. The direct cause of the paradox is that the reference system is not the same: the workers complain that the low wage reference system is the price and the price of medical education. China wages in the end is low or high Chinese economy currently faces many problems: the economic growth rate down, industrial product price deflation, private investment decline, leverage rose, money off the real to the imaginary, rising labor costs, manufacturing outflow, urbanization is hindered, the real estate industry thriving businesses decline, shadow banking spread. The accumulation of financial risks, the exchange rate depreciation pressure, foreign exchange reserves plummeted, and the so-called idle funds, "asset shortage" and the liquidity trap, etc.. These problems seem to be independent of each other, but they are interrelated. For policymakers, if the lack of systematic analysis to the point of controversy, lack of concentration may be less effective, even each department acting on its own mutual constraints. For entrepreneurs and investors in financial markets, if not a deep understanding of the relationship between the staggered, is easy to be affected by short-term market sentiment drift, resulting in decision-making mistakes. In fact, many problems behind the macro economy and financial system, there is a clear logical chain – income demand, investment demand depressed, forced investment leverage, leverage to push up asset prices, asset prices depressed exchange rate. CPI-PPI- asset price gap, private investment – public investment gap and M1-M2 gap, monetary – agency financial gap, flat yield curve in recent years in the research of the typical macro picture, actually reflects the logic chain in different nodes. First, straighten out the economic difficulties of the logical chain below we through the macroeconomic and financial system in a number of prominent phenomenon to straighten out the logical chain. The first prominent phenomenon is the lack of industrial demand and the relative excess capacity. Concentrated in the PPI has been four years for the negative, the time span of more than 1997-2002 years of the industrial cycle of deflation. Lack of demand and excess capacity are two sides of a coin. Over the past year, the cumulative investment in the economic cycle caused by excess capacity is also caused by coal, steel and other sectors of the cause of deflation. Oversupply in the field of industrial and financial markets, the real estate market in short supply in stark contrast. Second prominent phenomenon is that private investment growth fell sharply. The main reason for the decline in investment is not optimistic about future demand (including domestic demand and export demand), is the lack of investment opportunities, is expected to decline in the rate of return on capital, rather than because of lack of funds. According to Bai chongen, Zhang Qiong (2014) estimates, macro economic Chinese capital return rate has dropped to the current 15% from about 25% in 90s; the 2008 to 2014 decline speed and amplitude especially)相关的主题文章:

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